NBA · Nov 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors

FinalPOR 127 – GSW 123Page updated 16:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 10 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 8 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Jimmy Butler III · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 207 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Toumani Camara · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Robert Williams III · points 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.96

Al Horford · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 18.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Brandin Podziemski · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Draymond Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Deni Avdija · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Moses Moody · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Will Richard · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 9.3 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Stephen Curry · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Jimmy Butler III · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Donovan Clingan · rebounds 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs POR · last 24 games · GSW leads · GSW record 16–8 · average score 120.7–111.8 · GSW has won by 8.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 17 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 40 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 97 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 106 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 120 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 136 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 141 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 157 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 159 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 251 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 529 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 530 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 458 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 464 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 465 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 468 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 486 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 487 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 498 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 564 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 702 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 721 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.