NBA · Nov 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers

FinalMIA 127 – PHI 117Page updated 16:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 1 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points + assists 9.5 → 10 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 13.5 → 9 actual

Philadelphia 76ers

Dominick Barlow · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Justin Edwards · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Tyrese Maxey · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 119 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Dominick Barlow · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Davion Mitchell · steals 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.59, Under 1.47

Simone Fontecchio · points + rebounds 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 18.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Justin Edwards · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Tyrese Maxey · assists 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Dru Smith · points + assists 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.5 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHI vs MIA · last 30 games · MIA leads · PHI record 11–19 · average score 105.2–108.5 · PHI has lost by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Mar · PHI 109 at MIA 119PHI lost

26 Feb · MIA 117 at PHI 124PHI won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 52 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 70 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 197 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 237 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 252 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 256 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 274 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 276 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 278 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 230 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pa)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 261 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 560 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 593 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 494 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 495 ms

odds player timeline (pa)ok 200 · 503 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 551 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 551 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 553 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.