NBA · Nov 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat

FinalDAL 102 – MIA 106Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 11 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Klay Thompson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 280 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Cooper Flagg · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Naji Marshall · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.80

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Dru Smith · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.66, Under 2.14

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 28.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Max Christie · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 30 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Davion Mitchell · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Klay Thompson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 20.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs DAL · last 14 games · DAL leads · MIA record 6–8 · average score 103.0–107.3 · MIA has lost by 4.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 12 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 15 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 101 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 3 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 130 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1550 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2127 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2210 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2209 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2227 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2235 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2235 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2236 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2236 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2238 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2390 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2478 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.