NBA · Nov 26 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors

FinalHOU 104 – GSW 100Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Clint Capela · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 6 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 0 actual

Jimmy Butler III · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 18 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 236 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Will Richard · points 6.5 → 18 · 11.5 above the line · played 28 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.86

Gary Payton II · points 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 4.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.95

Moses Moody · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.1 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 38.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.97

Reed Sheppard · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Stephen Curry · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.24

Brandin Podziemski · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.4 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Draymond Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.26, Under 1.60

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.33, Under 1.56

Jimmy Butler III · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.66, Under 2.15

Clint Capela · points 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.1 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Alperen Sengun · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.79

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs HOU · last 30 games · GSW leads · GSW record 22–8 · average score 111.4–105.4 · GSW has won by 5.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · HOU 117 at GSW 116GSW lost

5 Mar · GSW 115 at HOU 113GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 46 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 49 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 62 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 91 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 127 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 171 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 86 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 433 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 565 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 654 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 783 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 782 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 805 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 816 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 814 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 816 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 815 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 872 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 949 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.