NBA · Nov 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalDAL 119 – LAL 129Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Jake LaRavia · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 165 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Jake LaRavia · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 13.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.02

Daniel Gafford · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 17.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Austin Reaves · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 41.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Luka Dončić · assists 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 40.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs DAL · last 24 games · LAL leads · LAL record 12–12 · average score 114.0–112.3 · LAL has won by 1.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · LAL 128 at DAL 134LAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 25 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 48 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 187 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 187 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 190 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 190 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 193 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 194 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 196 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 35 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 268 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 331 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 446 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 672 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 856 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 856 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 857 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 863 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.