NBA · Nov 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat

FinalDET 138 – MIA 135Page updated 16:51 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 10 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 8 actual

Duncan Robinson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 9 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:51 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DET also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 304 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Dru Smith · points 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 15.9 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Pelle Larsson · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.77

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.71

Duncan Robinson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.60, Under 2.25

Davion Mitchell · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Cade Cunningham · assists 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.93

Ausar Thompson · points 11.5 → 10 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs DET · last 22 games · MIA leads · MIA record 15–7 · average score 111.7–108.9 · MIA has won by 2.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Mar · DET 110 at MIA 121MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 71 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 77 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 185 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 259 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 261 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 266 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 267 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 268 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 271 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 271 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 346 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 639 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 646 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 551 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 555 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 581 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 601 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 610 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 612 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 671 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 826 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.