NBA · Dec 1 gameAll props Full sheet

LA Clippers at Miami Heat

FinalLAC 123 – MIA 140Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

LA Clippers

Brook Lopez · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → no final stat available

Kris Dunn · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 236.5 points · odds to win: LAC 3.12, MIA 1.41

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 265 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Kris Dunn · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Pelle Larsson · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 7.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Davion Mitchell · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 31 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Dru Smith · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Brook Lopez · points 4.5 → no final stat available · BetRivers odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs LAC · last 12 games · LAC leads · MIA record 5–7 · average score 111.6–113.7 · MIA has lost by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 6, expected total 236.5 (Tue 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 21 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 53 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 112 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 117 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 118 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 119 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 119 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 119 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 120 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 128 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 131 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 140 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 132 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 221 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 532 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 695 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 535 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 551 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 553 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 553 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 553 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 555 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 612 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.