NBA · Dec 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors

FinalBOS 121 – TOR 113Page updated 21:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 6 actual

Jordan Walsh · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Toronto Raptors

Collin Murray-Boyles · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Immanuel Quickley · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Ja'Kobe Walter · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 0 actual

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Jamal Shead · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 9 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 224 points · odds to win: BOS 1.66, TOR 2.36

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 20:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:35 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 282 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Derrick White · 3-pointers 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Ja'Kobe Walter · points 7.5 → 0 · 7.5 below the line · played 11.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jakob Poeltl · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.33, Under 1.56

Scottie Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Collin Murray-Boyles · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 6.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jamal Shead · points 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 22.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Payton Pritchard · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Immanuel Quickley · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Jordan Walsh · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 26 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Neemias Queta · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

TOR vs BOS · last 33 games · BOS leads · TOR record 7–26 · average score 104.2–111.5 · TOR has lost by 7.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · TOR 101 at BOS 115TOR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 3.5, expected total 224 (Sun 20:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 20:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 88 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 228 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 264 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 268 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 273 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 292 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 293 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 298 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 309 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 104 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 586 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 750 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3815 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 253 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 480 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 481 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 483 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 485 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 484 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 495 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 495 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 499 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 754 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.