NBA · Dec 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Charlotte Hornets

FinalDEN 115 – CHA 106Page updated 16:51 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Charlotte Hornets

Brandon Miller · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Kon Knueppel · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 2 actual

Liam McNeeley · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 13 actual

Ryan Kalkbrenner · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Sion James · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Tidjane Salaün · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 235.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.21, CHA 4.83

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:51 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 230 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Liam McNeeley · points 4.5 → 13 · 8.5 above the line · played 19.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Brandon Miller · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Kon Knueppel · 3-pointers 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Sion James · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Tidjane Salaün · points 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.00

Ryan Kalkbrenner · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHA vs DEN · last 14 games · DEN leads · CHA record 2–12 · average score 105.8–112.1 · CHA has lost by 6.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 10.5, expected total 235.5 (Sun 22:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 56 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 58 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 105 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 200 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 204 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 165 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 236 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 240 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 240 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 273 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 277 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 86 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 428 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 621 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 631 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 562 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 563 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 563 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 571 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 571 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 572 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 574 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 577 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 583 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.