NBA · Dec 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Chicago Bulls

FinalGSW 123 – CHI 91Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Jimmy Butler III · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Chicago Bulls

Buddy Hield · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Josh Giddey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Matas Buzelis · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Patrick Williams · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 3 actual

Zach Collins · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 229.5 points · odds to win: GSW 1.89, CHI 2.01

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

GSW also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 315 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Brandin Podziemski · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Will Richard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Josh Giddey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 35 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Buddy Hield · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Patrick Williams · points 7.5 → 3 · 4.5 below the line · played 20.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Zach Collins · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 18.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Matas Buzelis · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Moses Moody · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Jimmy Butler III · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs GSW · last 13 games · GSW leads · CHI record 3–10 · average score 111.2–124.2 · CHI has lost by 13 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Mar · CHI 130 at GSW 124CHI won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 1, expected total 229.5 (Sun 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 108 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 103 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 119 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 112 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 426 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 942 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 497 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 506 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 518 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 521 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 519 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 586 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 661 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.