NBA · Dec 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings

FinalDEN 136 – SAC 105Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

DeMar DeRozan · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 8 actual

Sacramento Kings

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Maxime Raynaud · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

Nique Clifford · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Precious Achiuwa · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 172 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Nique Clifford · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 28.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.98

DeMar DeRozan · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Precious Achiuwa · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 9.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.98

Malik Monk · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Maxime Raynaud · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Nikola Jokić · assists 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Keegan Murray · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs DEN · last 25 games · DEN leads · SAC record 9–16 · average score 113.4–117.5 · SAC has lost by 4.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 17 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 99 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 106 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 111 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 115 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 128 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 138 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 118 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 420 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 669 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 981 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 481 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 488 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 493 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 495 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 533 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 581 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 865 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 901 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 904 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.