NBA · Dec 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz

FinalDAL 133 – UTA 140Page updated 17:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 2 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Utah Jazz

Ace Bailey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Brice Sensabaugh · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Isaiah Collier · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 10 actual

Keyonte George · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Kyle Filipowski · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 25 actual

Lauri Markkanen · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Svi Mykhailiuk · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 199 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Keyonte George · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 40.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Kyle Filipowski · points 12.5 → 25 · 12.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.95

Isaiah Collier · points 5.5 → 10 · 4.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Daniel Gafford · points 8.5 → 2 · 6.5 below the line · played 12.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80

Lauri Markkanen · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Brice Sensabaugh · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.77

Max Christie · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.69

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Ace Bailey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.93

Cooper Flagg · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 41.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Svi Mykhailiuk · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

UTA vs DAL · last 29 games · DAL leads · UTA record 11–18 · average score 108.8–113.3 · UTA has lost by 4.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 88 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 98 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 101 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 107 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 111 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 110 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 55 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 577 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 545 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 546 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 550 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 552 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 550 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 629 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 630 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 764 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 768 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 809 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 810 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 815 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.