NBA · Dec 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat

FinalTOR 106 – MIA 96Page updated 20:40 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Toronto Raptors

Immanuel Quickley · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 15 actual

Ja'Kobe Walter · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 8 actual

Jamal Shead · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 20:40 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 225 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Ja'Kobe Walter · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 12.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Davion Mitchell · assists 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 32 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Jamal Shead · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Scottie Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 33 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.41, Under 1.53

Immanuel Quickley · points 17.5 → 15 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Jakob Poeltl · rebounds 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs TOR · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 13–13 · average score 106.8–108.2 · MIA has lost by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Apr · MIA 114 at TOR 128MIA lost

7 Apr · MIA 95 at TOR 121MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 147 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 173 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 188 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 191 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 192 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 194 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 198 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 206 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 213 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 216 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 255 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 94 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 90 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 713 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 848 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 408 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 471 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 620 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 625 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 626 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 638 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 639 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 782 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.