NBA · Dec 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at New York Knicks

FinalMIA 125 – NYK 132Page updated 15:44 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 8 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 12.5 → 12 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 6 actual

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 2 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 6 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Tyler Kolek · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:44 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 230 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Jalen Brunson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Mikal Bridges · 3-pointers 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 40.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Bam Adebayo · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Josh Hart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Karl-Anthony Towns · points 21.5 → 2 · 19.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.84

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Jordan Clarkson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Simone Fontecchio · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 17.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

OG Anunoby · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Tyler Kolek · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Davion Mitchell · assists 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.65

Dru Smith · points + rebounds + assists 12.5 → 12 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NYK vs MIA · last 28 games · NYK leads · NYK record 14–14 · average score 108.9–109.6 · NYK has lost by 0.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 71 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 78 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 170 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 283 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 288 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 297 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 297 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 339 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 341 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 342 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 70 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 442 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 443 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 447 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 756 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 756 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 475 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 483 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 486 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 494 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 498 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 508 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 517 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 528 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 716 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 752 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 753 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 894 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 895 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 959 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 959 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1169 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1170 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1170 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.