NBA · Dec 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalDAL 113 – NOP 119Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

assists 0.5 → 0 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Karlo Matković · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 241.5 points · odds to win: DAL 1.88, NOP 2.03

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 64 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Daniel Gafford · assists 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

P.J. Washington · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Jordan Poole · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Karlo Matković · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 13.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.03, Under 1.76

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs DAL · last 27 games · DAL leads · NOP record 10–17 · average score 112.9–118.6 · NOP has lost by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Mar · DAL 111 at NOP 129NOP won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 1, expected total 241.5 (Tue 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 58 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 66 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 271 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 275 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 298 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 335 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 340 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 364 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 365 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 311 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 373 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 376 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 777 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1310 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1809 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 165 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 780 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 795 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 821 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 823 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.