NBA · Dec 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors

FinalORL 97 – GSW 120Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Desmond Bane · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

Goga Bitadze · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 2 actual

Tristan da Silva · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → no final stat available

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Jimmy Butler III · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 227.5 points · odds to win: ORL 2.92, GSW 1.46

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 135 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Desmond Bane · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Moses Moody · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Will Richard · points 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 13 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.96

Draymond Green · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 17.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Goga Bitadze · points 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 14.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Jimmy Butler III · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

De'Anthony Melton · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 15.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Stephen Curry · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Brandin Podziemski · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Tristan da Silva · points 9.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.96

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs ORL · last 14 games · GSW leads · GSW record 8–6 · average score 111.6–107.0 · GSW has won by 4.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 6, expected total 227.5 (Tue 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 17 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 21 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 124 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 128 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 128 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 132 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 133 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 136 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 139 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 128 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 420 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 657 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 667 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 682 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 692 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 696 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 705 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 716 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 719 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 889 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 779 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.