NBA · Dec 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets

FinalUTA 112 – DEN 135Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Utah Jazz

Ace Bailey · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 0 actual

Jusuf Nurkić · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Keyonte George · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Lauri Markkanen · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 13 · both teams together expected to score about 251.5 points · odds to win: UTA 6.59, DEN 1.13

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 51 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Ace Bailey · steals 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 24 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.22

Keyonte George · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Jusuf Nurkić · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.80

Lauri Markkanen · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs UTA · last 31 games · DEN leads · DEN record 19–12 · average score 117.1–114.2 · DEN has won by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · DEN 130 at UTA 117DEN won

27 Mar · UTA 129 at DEN 135DEN won

2 Mar · DEN 128 at UTA 125DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 13, expected total 251.5 (Tue 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 17 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 21 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 119 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 152 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 155 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 156 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 158 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 237 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 722 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 782 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 654 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 655 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 933 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.