02

Picks and prices

Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checked

A line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.

We had no picks in this game.

Why the better price matters

A higher price for the same line pays more whenever the pick wins; that is arithmetic, not a forecast.

What taking the best price is worth has been measured only on WNBA lines (25 Aug 2026); NBA has not been measured yet.

03

The players

11 players checked · 4 whose past record points the other way from the bookmakers' price · 0 out · 0 with too few games

Rate: the share of every game we hold for the player since the 2019-20 season (not only this season) in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.

Against this opponent, 1 of 10 players has performed clearly differently and 1 shows a slight hint · No starting lineup yet; showing every player with a line

Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.

Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.

Brooklyn Netsplaying PHI

Ben Saraf · minutes unknown
points 4.5 → no final stat available
Danny Wolf · minutes unknown
rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual
Day'Ron Sharpe · minutes unknown
points 6.5 → 9 actual
Egor Dëmin · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 5 actual
Michael Porter Jr. · minutes unknown
3-pointers 3.5 → 5 actual
Noah Clowney · minutes unknown
3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual
Terance Mann · minutes unknown
points 7.5 → 4 actual

Philadelphia 76ersplaying BKN

Jabari Walker · minutes unknown
rebounds 6.5 → 4 actual
Joel Embiid · minutes unknown
assists 3.5 → 4 actual
Justin Edwards · minutes unknown
3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual
Tyrese Maxey · minutes unknown
3-pointers 3.5 → 0 actual
04

What could go wrong

updated
Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates yet.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 219 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

05

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.
FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below
11 other players with a posted line
Justin Edwards · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95
Tyrese Maxey · 3-pointers 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 39.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.71
Danny Wolf · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65
Terance Mann · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.00
Egor Dëmin · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95
Michael Porter Jr. · 3-pointers 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.60
Day'Ron Sharpe · points 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74
Jabari Walker · rebounds 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 12.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45
Noah Clowney · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53
Joel Embiid · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91
Ben Saraf · points 4.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80

Sign in to see your predictions checked

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

More context
Head to head

PHI vs BKN · last 30 games · PHI leads · PHI record 20–10 · average score 111.7–106.4 · PHI has won by 5.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · BKN 97 at PHI 104PHI won
What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position
How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52
sds history (h2h)ok · 26 ms
grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 28 ms
sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 30 ms
sds games/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms
sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 110 ms
sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 119 ms
sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms
sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 121 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 122 ms
sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms
grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms
sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 126 ms
sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 130 ms
sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 133 ms
sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms
sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms
dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 506 ms
odds game timelineok 200 · 671 ms
grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1707 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 51 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 59 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 74 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 145 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 153 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 159 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 168 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 193 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 211 ms
sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms
sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 479 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 483 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 499 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 500 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 501 ms
odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 553 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 556 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 564 ms
odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 569 ms
odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 652 ms
odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 660 ms
Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.