NBA · Dec 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks

FinalDEN 130 – DAL 131Page updated 15:44 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 14 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Ryan Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 9 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 15 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:44 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 244 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.11

Cooper Flagg · assists 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 39.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 14 · 7.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

Cameron Johnson · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.22, Under 1.63

Daniel Gafford · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 17.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Naji Marshall · points 13.5 → 15 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Ryan Nembhard · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs DEN · last 24 games · DAL leads · DAL record 12–12 · average score 112.2–113.2 · DAL has lost by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Mar · DAL 135 at DEN 142DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 75 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 78 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 93 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 190 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 195 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 245 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 246 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 246 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 246 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 257 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 259 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 82 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 316 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 585 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 615 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 858 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 367 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 370 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 394 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 521 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 628 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 633 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 639 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 702 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 891 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 903 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 911 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.