NBA · Dec 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat

FinalTOR 112 – MIA 91Page updated 17:29 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Toronto Raptors

Collin Murray-Boyles · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 12 actual

Immanuel Quickley · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Ja'Kobe Walter · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Jamal Shead · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 12 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:29 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 236 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Collin Murray-Boyles · rebounds 4.5 → 12 · 7.5 above the line · played 24.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Scottie Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.33, Under 1.56

Immanuel Quickley · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.79

Dru Smith · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.5 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.28, Under 1.58

Simone Fontecchio · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 8.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Ja'Kobe Walter · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Bam Adebayo · rebounds 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Jamal Shead · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 19 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs TOR · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 13–13 · average score 106.8–108.2 · MIA has lost by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Apr · MIA 114 at TOR 128MIA lost

7 Apr · MIA 95 at TOR 121MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 38 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 40 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 41 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 96 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 205 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 206 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 233 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 291 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 291 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 295 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 304 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 303 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 35 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 701 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 895 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 912 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 913 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 914 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1234 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 914 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 916 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 915 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 942 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 964 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.