NBA · Dec 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers

FinalHOU 119 – LAL 96Page updated 16:40 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 26 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 16 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

Marcus Smart · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Steven Adams · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 9 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Jake LaRavia · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 5 actual

Jarred Vanderbilt · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 11 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 231 points · odds to win: HOU 1.81, LAL 2.12

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:40 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 306 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Jarred Vanderbilt · points 3.5 → 11 · 7.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Kevin Durant · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Reed Sheppard · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 19.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Austin Reaves · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 14.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Steven Adams · rebounds 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Amen Thompson · points 16.5 → 26 · 9.5 above the line · played 31.9 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Alperen Sengun · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Tari Eason · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Marcus Smart · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Jake LaRavia · points 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Jabari Smith Jr. · points 14.5 → 16 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Luka Dončić · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAL vs HOU · last 33 games · LAL leads · LAL record 23–10 · average score 109.9–106.8 · LAL has won by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 May · LAL 98 at HOU 78LAL won

29 Apr · HOU 99 at LAL 93LAL lost

26 Apr · LAL 96 at HOU 115LAL lost

24 Apr · LAL 112 at HOU 108LAL won

21 Apr · HOU 94 at LAL 101LAL won

18 Apr · HOU 98 at LAL 107LAL won

18 Mar · LAL 124 at HOU 116LAL won

16 Mar · LAL 100 at HOU 92LAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 2.5, expected total 231 (Fri 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 101 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 146 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 208 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 436 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 442 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 445 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 447 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 457 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 537 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 538 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 543 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 550 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 550 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 456 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 560 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 437 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 448 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 479 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 493 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 498 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 508 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 699 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 766 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 772 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 779 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 782 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 809 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 818 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 822 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 834 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 862 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 874 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 887 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1144 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1150 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1154 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1276 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1278 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1291 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1338 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1411 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1444 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1486 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1495 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1695 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.