NBA · Dec 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets

FinalMIN 138 – DEN 142Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Bones Hyland · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 11 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 8 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 21 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 12 actual

Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 10 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 29.5 → 56 actual

Zeke Nnaji · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 238.5 points · odds to win: MIN 1.95, DEN 1.95

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 03:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 264 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Bones Hyland · points 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 22.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Nikola Jokić · points 29.5 → 56 · 26.5 above the line · played 42.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Zeke Nnaji · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 5.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.70

Jaden McDaniels · points 13.5 → 21 · 7.5 above the line · played 39.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 42.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

Anthony Edwards · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 42.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Rudy Gobert · rebounds 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 34 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs MIN · last 45 games · DEN leads · DEN record 24–21 · average score 111.1–112.2 · DEN has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Apr · DEN 98 at MIN 110DEN lost

27 Apr · MIN 113 at DEN 125DEN won

25 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 112DEN lost

23 Apr · DEN 96 at MIN 113DEN lost

20 Apr · MIN 119 at DEN 114DEN lost

18 Apr · MIN 105 at DEN 116DEN won

1 Mar · MIN 117 at DEN 108DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 1, expected total 238.5 (Fri 03:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 03:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 71 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 76 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 191 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 204 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 210 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 213 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 227 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 236 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 239 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 243 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 246 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 179 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 514 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 543 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1576 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1471 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1902 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1938 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1954 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1967 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2012 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2018 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.