NBA · Dec 25 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalSAS 117 – OKC 102Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes15 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 15 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 6 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 12 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 12 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 32.5 → 22 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 235 points · odds to win: SAS 4.08, OKC 1.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 19:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 228 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 11 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

15 other players with a posted line

Julian Champagnie · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 20.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Alex Caruso · points 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 19.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Chet Holmgren · rebounds 7.5 → 12 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Harrison Barnes · points 9.5 → 15 · 5.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

De'Aaron Fox · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Cason Wallace · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 32.5 → 22 · 10.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Stephon Castle · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Devin Vassell · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Victor Wembanyama · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Luke Kornet · points 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 21.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Jalen Williams · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 29 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Keldon Johnson · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 17 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs SAS · last 31 games · OKC leads · OKC record 17–14 · average score 112.8–110.0 · OKC has won by 2.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 May · SAS 111 at OKC 103OKC lost

28 May · OKC 91 at SAS 118OKC lost

26 May · SAS 114 at OKC 127OKC won

24 May · OKC 82 at SAS 103OKC lost

22 May · OKC 123 at SAS 108OKC won

20 May · SAS 113 at OKC 122OKC won

18 May · SAS 122 at OKC 115OKC lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 10, expected total 235 (Thu 19:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 19:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 64

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 26 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 111 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 116 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 122 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 128 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 105 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 136 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 143 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 147 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 525 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 557 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1496 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 44 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 80 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 84 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 86 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 397 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 404 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 419 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 426 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 432 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1126 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1135 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1155 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1158 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1199 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1209 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1223 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1223 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1272 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1276 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1327 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1332 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1336 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1339 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1435 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.