NBA · Dec 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat

FinalIND 116 – MIA 142Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Jarace Walker · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jay Huff · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Johnny Furphy · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 5 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 19 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 297 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jović · points 8.5 → 19 · 10.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Jarace Walker · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Johnny Furphy · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 20.8 min · no final price

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Jay Huff · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Davion Mitchell · assists 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 19.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Dru Smith · points 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Andrew Nembhard · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Andrew Wiggins · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs IND · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 15–11 · average score 107.3–105.9 · MIA has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · MIA 118 at IND 135MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 18 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 18 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 106 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 127 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 131 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 132 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 131 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 136 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 137 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 138 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 453 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 498 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 228 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 510 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 529 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1056 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 568 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 571 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 670 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 670 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 670 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 671 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 754 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 857 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.