NBA · Dec 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers

FinalDAL 122 – POR 125Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → 15 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 17 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 25 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 18 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Shaedon Sharpe · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

POR also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 199 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Max Christie · points 10.5 → 25 · 14.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Daniel Gafford · points 9.5 → 17 · 7.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.04

Donovan Clingan · points 10.5 → 18 · 7.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Deni Avdija · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 39 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Naji Marshall · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 29.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Cooper Flagg · points 22.5 → 15 · 7.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Shaedon Sharpe · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Toumani Camara · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Robert Williams III · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs DAL · last 24 games · DAL leads · POR record 8–16 · average score 115.4–125.4 · POR has lost by 10 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · DAL 100 at POR 93POR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 23 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 46 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 130 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 131 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 131 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 132 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 134 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 135 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 270 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 455 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1026 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 956 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 977 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 996 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1014 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1052 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1051 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1058 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1066 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1065 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1134 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.