NBA · Dec 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat

FinalDEN 123 – MIA 147Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 20 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

rebounds 13.5 → 5 actual

Spencer Jones · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 14.5 → 20 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 13 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 11 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Tim Hardaway Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 213 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.06

Dru Smith · points 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 21.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.02

Nikola Jokić · rebounds 13.5 → 5 · 8.5 below the line · played 19.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Tim Hardaway Jr. · 3-pointers 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Julian Strawther · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 14.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.76

Davion Mitchell · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Spencer Jones · points + rebounds + assists 14.5 → 20 · 5.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Bam Adebayo · points 18.5 → 13 · 5.5 below the line · played 21.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Jamal Murray · points 26.5 → 20 · 6.5 below the line · played 34.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Pelle Larsson · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs DEN · last 19 games · DEN leads · MIA record 3–16 · average score 105.1–113.4 · MIA has lost by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 53 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 76 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 232 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 274 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 279 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 330 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 331 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 332 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 361 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 363 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 385 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 395 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 460 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 462 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 466 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 488 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 495 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 508 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 934 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1008 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 705 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 722 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 752 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 822 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 828 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 983 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1090 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1094 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1096 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 1355 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1423 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1539 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1657 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1723 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.