NBA · Jan 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalDEN 108 – CLE 113Page updated 15:44 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

DaRon Holmes II · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 3 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 0 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Jaylon Tyson · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Peyton Watson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:44 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 190 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Julian Strawther · points 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 5.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.90

DaRon Holmes II · points 11.5 → 3 · 8.5 below the line · played 24 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Jarrett Allen · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Jaylon Tyson · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 23.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.85

Peyton Watson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Evan Mobley · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Donovan Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.77

Jamal Murray · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Sam Merrill · points 11.5 → no final stat available · BetRivers odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.82

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs DEN · last 13 games · CLE leads · CLE record 8–5 · average score 113.3–116.0 · CLE has lost by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 60 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 83 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 265 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 295 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 313 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 317 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 320 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 322 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 351 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 355 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 328 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 674 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 398 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 826 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 658 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 701 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 702 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 703 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 751 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.