NBA · Jan 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors

FinalOKC 131 – GSW 94Page updated 15:43 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Gui Santos · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 8 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

points + assists 12.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:43 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 158 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Alex Caruso · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 10.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.49

Brandin Podziemski · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 6.00, Under 1.10

Al Horford · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 15.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Jalen Williams · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 20.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Gui Santos · rebounds 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.43, Under 1.51

Will Richard · points + assists 12.5 → 14 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Ajay Mitchell · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs OKC · last 24 games · GSW leads · GSW record 12–12 · average score 117.0–115.0 · GSW has won by 2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Mar · GSW 97 at OKC 104GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 63 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 145 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 180 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 181 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 194 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 201 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 202 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 206 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 220 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 220 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 241 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 95 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 604 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 651 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3851 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pa)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 358 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 482 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 558 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 560 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 561 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 565 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 579 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 588 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 620 ms

odds player timeline (pa)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 860 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.