NBA · Jan 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks

FinalHOU 104 – DAL 110Page updated 15:44 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 0 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 34 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 9 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:44 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 216 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Max Christie · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Alperen Sengun · assists 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 1.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Tari Eason · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 12 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Daniel Gafford · points 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 19.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 37 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Reed Sheppard · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Naji Marshall · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Kevin Durant · points 24.5 → 34 · 9.5 above the line · played 37.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.83

Cooper Flagg · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs HOU · last 25 games · DAL leads · DAL record 15–10 · average score 108.6–106.7 · DAL has won by 1.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

31 Jan · DAL 107 at HOU 111DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 150 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 209 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 220 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 226 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 400 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 406 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 408 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 453 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 457 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 455 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 455 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 467 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 466 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 496 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 349 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 382 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 386 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 814 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 412 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 871 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 656 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 656 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 657 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 658 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 715 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 718 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 989 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 990 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 992 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.