NBA · Jan 4 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat

FinalNOP 106 – MIA 125Page updated 16:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 21 actual

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 8 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 6 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:34 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 259 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · assists 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.64, Under 2.18

Jordan Poole · assists 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.55, Under 2.35

Jeremiah Fears · points 12.5 → 21 · 8.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.60

Trey Murphy III · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 38.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.66

Zion Williamson · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.62, Under 2.20

Davion Mitchell · assists 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Nikola Jović · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.8 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.65

Derik Queen · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs NOP · last 13 games · MIA leads · MIA record 12–1 · average score 114.3–100.7 · MIA has won by 13.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 Feb · MIA 123 at NOP 111MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 77 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 144 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 171 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 266 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 275 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 280 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 282 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 284 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 365 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 368 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 157 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 357 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 729 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 808 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 606 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 616 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 617 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 618 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 622 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 636 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 643 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 655 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 687 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.