NBA · Jan 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalMIA 94 – MIN 122Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 11 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 4 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 5 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Jaylen Clark · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 2 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 214 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Jaylen Clark · points 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Davion Mitchell · points 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 27.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Anthony Edwards · 3-pointers 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Dru Smith · points 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 5.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Jaden McDaniels · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Pelle Larsson · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.88

Bam Adebayo · rebounds 9.5 → 11 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Rudy Gobert · points 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Andrew Wiggins · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Nikola Jović · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.02

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs MIA · last 14 games · MIN leads · MIN record 11–3 · average score 113.0–106.6 · MIN has won by 6.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 36 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 37 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 39 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 180 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 183 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 185 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 186 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 188 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 195 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 184 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 273 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 299 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 747 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 755 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 680 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 748 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 749 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 755 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 757 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 765 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 797 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 815 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 821 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.