NBA · Jan 7 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Boston Celtics

FinalDEN 114 – BOS 110Page updated 15:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

DaRon Holmes II · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 6 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 8 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 3 actual

Hugo González · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 3 actual

Jordan Walsh · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 1 actual

Luka Garza · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 20 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 212 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Neemias Queta · rebounds 7.5 → 20 · 12.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Jordan Walsh · points 5.5 → 1 · 4.5 below the line · played 13.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Jamal Murray · rebounds 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.00

Payton Pritchard · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.94

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Luka Garza · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 19.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Derrick White · 3-pointers 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Hugo González · points 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

DaRon Holmes II · points 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 13.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs DEN · last 13 games · BOS leads · BOS record 7–6 · average score 108.8–105.1 · BOS has won by 3.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Feb · BOS 84 at DEN 103BOS lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 197 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 263 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 275 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 335 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 470 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 478 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 483 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 501 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 638 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 661 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 663 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 667 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 667 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 668 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 484 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 397 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 444 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 490 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 494 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 505 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 517 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 549 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 561 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 666 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 675 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 682 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 690 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 750 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 765 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 909 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 939 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 961 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 973 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 989 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 1024 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 1094 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1117 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1124 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1127 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1128 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1218 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1220 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1224 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1253 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1270 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1284 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1567 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.