NBA · Jan 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Chicago Bulls

FinalDAL 107 – CHI 125Page updated 15:42 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 4 actual

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 11 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 6 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Chicago Bulls

Isaac Okoro · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 13 actual

Jalen Smith · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Matas Buzelis · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Patrick Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 5 actual

Tre Jones · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CHI expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 234 points · odds to win: DAL 2.58, CHI 1.57

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:42 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 241 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 8 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Patrick Williams · rebounds 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.4 min · no final price

Isaac Okoro · points 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · no final price

Caleb Martin · rebounds 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.8 min · no final price

Dwight Powell · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 1 min · no final price

Cooper Flagg · points 23.5 → 11 · 12.5 below the line · played 28.2 min · no final price

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Jalen Smith · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Tre Jones · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 28 min · no final price

Max Christie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.4 min · no final price

Matas Buzelis · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs DAL · last 13 games · DAL leads · CHI record 6–7 · average score 114.5–116.2 · CHI has lost by 1.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · CHI 128 at DAL 149CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CHI expected to win by 4.5, expected total 234 (Sun 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 15 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 104 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 15 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 117 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 118 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 483 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 521 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3823 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 243 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 402 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 569 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 577 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 641 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 642 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 642 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 654 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 653 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 715 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 924 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 925 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.