NBA · Jan 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalMIA 112 – OKC 124Page updated 15:43 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 7 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 10 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 14.5 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: MIA 6.12, OKC 1.15

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:43 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 356 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 7 · 5.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Ajay Mitchell · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.8 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Alex Caruso · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.5 min · no final price

Davion Mitchell · assists 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · no final price

Pelle Larsson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 32 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs MIA · last 14 games · MIA leads · OKC record 6–8 · average score 108.8–110.9 · OKC has lost by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 14.5, expected total 233.5 (Mon 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 23 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 25 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 103 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 104 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 106 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 113 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 125 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 129 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 508 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 520 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 398 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 429 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 540 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 685 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 712 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 714 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 717 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 728 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 756 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 781 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 802 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1029 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.