NBA · Jan 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets

FinalMIL 104 – DEN 108Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Kevin Porter Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 9 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → no final stat available

DaRon Holmes II · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → no final stat available

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 214 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Myles Turner · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.18

Ryan Rollins · points 14.5 → 2 · 12.5 below the line · played 35 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.79

Kyle Kuzma · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.04

Kevin Porter Jr. · rebounds 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.66

AJ Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.12

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.04

Christian Braun · rebounds 4.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

DaRon Holmes II · points 5.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.90

Jamal Murray · assists 8.5 → no final stat available · BetRivers odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.02

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs MIL · last 13 games · DEN leads · DEN record 8–5 · average score 113.8–108.5 · DEN has won by 5.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 21 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 105 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 112 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 121 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 123 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 126 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 141 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 144 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 210 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 654 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 769 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 642 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 687 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 741 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 778 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 790 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 832 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 885 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 905 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.