NBA · Jan 11 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalSAS 103 – MIN 104Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 10 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 2 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 309 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

De'Aaron Fox · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.57

Keldon Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 26 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.57

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Julian Champagnie · rebounds 5.5 → 10 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Anthony Edwards · rebounds 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 37.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Victor Wembanyama · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 27 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Donte DiVincenzo · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Harrison Barnes · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Stephon Castle · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Rudy Gobert · rebounds 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Luke Kornet · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 23 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs SAS · last 29 games · MIN leads · MIN record 18–11 · average score 115.0–113.4 · MIN has won by 1.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 May · SAS 139 at MIN 109MIN lost

12 May · MIN 97 at SAS 126MIN lost

10 May · SAS 109 at MIN 114MIN won

8 May · SAS 115 at MIN 108MIN lost

6 May · MIN 95 at SAS 133MIN lost

4 May · MIN 104 at SAS 102MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 93 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 96 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 109 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 204 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 204 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 205 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 208 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 207 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 115 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 211 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 212 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 238 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 56 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 446 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 449 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 466 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 698 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1048 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1180 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1227 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1228 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1230 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1230 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1266 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1501 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1520 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1521 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1522 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1521 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.