NBA · Jan 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat

FinalPHX 121 – MIA 127Page updated 15:42 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Suns

Collin Gillespie · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 1 actual

Devin Booker · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Dillon Brooks · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Jordan Goodwin · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 2 actual

Mark Williams · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 18 actual

Oso Ighodaro · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Ryan Dunn · minutes unknown

assists 1.5 → 2 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 29 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 232.5 points · odds to win: PHX 2.06, MIA 1.85

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:42 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 277 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · points 14.5 → 29 · 14.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Nikola Jović · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 6.1 min · no final price

Collin Gillespie · assists 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 24.3 min · no final price

Jordan Goodwin · points 7.5 → 2 · 5.5 below the line · played 17.2 min · no final price

Pelle Larsson · points 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · no final price

Dillon Brooks · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Mark Williams · points 11.5 → 18 · 6.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Andrew Wiggins · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 28.9 min · no final price

Devin Booker · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 39.7 min · no final price

Oso Ighodaro · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Ryan Dunn · assists 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.5 min · no final price

Davion Mitchell · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs PHX · last 14 games · MIA leads · MIA record 7–7 · average score 108.9–110.1 · MIA has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Jan · MIA 111 at PHX 102MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 1.5, expected total 232.5 (Wed 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 76 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 79 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 170 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 170 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 176 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 179 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 186 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 233 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 238 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 239 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 240 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 68 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 353 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 458 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 663 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 480 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 488 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 492 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 513 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 517 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 537 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 854 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 722 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 724 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 725 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 800 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 803 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 806 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 805 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 943 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 944 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1043 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1085 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1116 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.