NBA · Jan 14 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks

FinalDEN 118 – DAL 109Page updated 15:43 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 5 actual

Zeke Nnaji · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 6 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

assists 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:43 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 165 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Cooper Flagg · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.41

Jamal Murray · assists 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 38.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Daniel Gafford · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 17.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

P.J. Washington · assists 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 31 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Aaron Gordon · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.10

Zeke Nnaji · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs DEN · last 24 games · DAL leads · DAL record 12–12 · average score 112.2–113.2 · DAL has lost by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Mar · DAL 135 at DEN 142DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 43 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 112 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 117 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 124 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 129 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 126 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 457 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 472 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 463 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 462 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 462 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 469 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 469 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 482 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.