NBA · Jan 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat

FinalBOS 119 – MIA 114Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Luka Garza · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 11 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 17 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 16 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 229 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Sam Hauser · points 9.5 → 17 · 7.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Bam Adebayo · rebounds 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Luka Garza · points 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 28 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Payton Pritchard · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 24 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Nikola Jović · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 15.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.02

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Andrew Wiggins · points 14.5 → 16 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Derrick White · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Neemias Queta · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs BOS · last 47 games · BOS leads · MIA record 19–28 · average score 105.6–110.6 · MIA has lost by 5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · BOS 147 at MIA 129MIA lost

6 Feb · MIA 96 at BOS 98MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 235 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 264 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 440 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 676 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 678 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 683 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 694 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 697 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 704 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 706 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 712 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 712 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 714 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 718 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 147 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 620 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 426 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 439 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 546 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 554 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1406 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 620 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 627 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 631 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 648 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 695 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1689 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1462 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1463 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1466 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1525 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1923 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2003 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2005 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2004 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2142 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.