NBA · Jan 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at San Antonio Spurs

FinalMIL 101 – SAS 119Page updated 16:33 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 6 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Kevin Porter Jr. · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 2 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 6 actual

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 1 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:33 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 281 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 21.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Dylan Harper · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.60, Under 2.25

Stephon Castle · rebounds 5.5 → 1 · 4.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Kevin Porter Jr. · assists 7.5 → 2 · 5.5 below the line · played 23.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Ryan Rollins · points 13.5 → 6 · 7.5 below the line · played 25.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Luke Kornet · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 20.1 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.01, Under 1.78

AJ Green · points 9.5 → 6 · 3.5 below the line · played 15 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Gary Trent Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 13.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Myles Turner · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.96

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Keldon Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Kyle Kuzma · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.05

De'Aaron Fox · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 23 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs MIL · last 14 games · SAS leads · SAS record 7–7 · average score 118.3–114.6 · SAS has won by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

28 Mar · SAS 127 at MIL 95SAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 61

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 29 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 32 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 51 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 200 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 202 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 203 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 203 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 203 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 203 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 206 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 206 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 208 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 57 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 89 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 539 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 324 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 994 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 796 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 798 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 806 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 819 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 830 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 836 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 852 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 850 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 850 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 896 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1027 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1077 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1073 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1080 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.