NBA · Jan 15 gameAll props Full sheet

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks

FinalUTA 122 – DAL 144Page updated 15:43 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Utah Jazz

Ace Bailey · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Brice Sensabaugh · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Isaiah Collier · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 5 actual

Jusuf Nurkić · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → no final stat available

Keyonte George · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 3 actual

Kyle Filipowski · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 4 actual

Lauri Markkanen · minutes unknown

points 30.5 → no final stat available

Svi Mykhailiuk · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → no final stat available

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 6 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:43 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 303 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Caleb Martin · assists 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.62, Under 1.48

Isaiah Collier · rebounds 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Keyonte George · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Kyle Filipowski · rebounds 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 20 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Ace Bailey · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.03, Under 1.75

Brice Sensabaugh · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.26, Under 1.60

Naji Marshall · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.02

Dwight Powell · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Jusuf Nurkić · points 14.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.87

Lauri Markkanen · points 30.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Svi Mykhailiuk · points 8.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

P.J. Washington · rebounds 7.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs UTA · last 29 games · DAL leads · DAL record 18–11 · average score 113.3–108.8 · DAL has won by 4.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Jan · UTA 120 at DAL 138DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 52 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 59 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 64 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 195 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 223 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 226 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 230 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 233 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 235 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 241 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 248 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 544 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 611 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3560 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 51 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 499 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 649 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 655 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 656 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 657 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 684 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 693 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 921 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 930 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.