NBA · Jan 16 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Indiana Pacers

FinalNOP 119 – IND 127Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Karlo Matković · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Yves Missi · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 2 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 27 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 130 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Aaron Nesmith · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 33 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.00

Andrew Nembhard · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.59, Under 1.47

Pascal Siakam · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

T.J. McConnell · steals 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.69, Under 1.44

Yves Missi · points 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 19.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Jeremiah Fears · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Karlo Matković · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.80

Trey Murphy III · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Derik Queen · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Saddiq Bey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Zion Williamson · points 24.5 → 27 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Jordan Poole · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs NOP · last 14 games · IND leads · IND record 7–7 · average score 113.4–116.1 · IND has lost by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 20 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 144 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 145 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 149 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 148 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 155 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 154 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 157 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 169 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 154 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 398 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 415 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 661 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 481 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 486 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 705 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 519 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 824 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 826 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 905 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 905 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 969 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 978 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 978 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 978 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 980 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 982 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 990 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1143 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.