NBA · Jan 18 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets

FinalNOP 110 – HOU 119Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 4 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Yves Missi · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 10 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 20 actual

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 7 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Steven Adams · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 10 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 244 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 7 · 4.5 above the line · played 41.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Yves Missi · points 5.5 → 10 · 4.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Kevin Durant · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Derik Queen · rebounds 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Alperen Sengun · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 33 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Jordan Poole · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.10

Steven Adams · rebounds 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.87

Jeremiah Fears · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 10.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.57

Trey Murphy III · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Saddiq Bey · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Reed Sheppard · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Zion Williamson · points 20.5 → 20 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Tari Eason · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs NOP · last 26 games · HOU leads · HOU record 14–12 · average score 114.7–115.2 · HOU has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · HOU 134 at NOP 102HOU won

13 Mar · NOP 105 at HOU 107HOU won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 61

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 101 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 104 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 116 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 120 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 121 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 126 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 128 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 457 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 681 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 59 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 293 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 333 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 496 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 498 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 556 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 556 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 742 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 747 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 748 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 747 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 752 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.