NBA · Jan 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors

FinalMIA 112 – GSW 135Page updated 16:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points + assists 9.5 → 4 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

steals 1.5 → 1 actual

Jimmy Butler III · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 43 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Stephen Curry · steals 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.43, Under 2.73

Nikola Jović · points + assists 9.5 → 4 · 5.5 below the line · played 3.9 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.89

Al Horford · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 19 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Brandin Podziemski · steals 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.78, Under 1.41

Jimmy Butler III · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.02

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs MIA · last 13 games · MIA leads · GSW record 6–7 · average score 109.9–110.9 · GSW has lost by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 244 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 251 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 309 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 440 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 459 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 260 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 495 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 774 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 776 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 779 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 779 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 780 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 783 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 787 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 839 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 847 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pa)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 248 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1397 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1815 ms

odds player timeline (pa)ok 200 · 1264 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1285 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 1324 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1342 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1407 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.