NBA · Jan 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets

FinalLAL 115 – DEN 107Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Jake LaRavia · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jarred Vanderbilt · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 3 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 18 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 11 actual

Zeke Nnaji · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 213 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Jake LaRavia · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.66

Jamal Murray · assists 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.96

Luka Dončić · 3-pointers 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Zeke Nnaji · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Jarred Vanderbilt · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Aaron Gordon · points 18.5 → 18 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs LAL · last 37 games · DEN leads · DEN record 21–16 · average score 114.5–112.5 · DEN has won by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · DEN 125 at LAL 127DEN lost

5 Mar · LAL 113 at DEN 120DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 17 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 25 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 90 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 95 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 115 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 99 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 181 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 453 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 675 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1399 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1288 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1296 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1297 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1295 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1297 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1297 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.