NBA · Jan 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Phoenix Suns

FinalMIA 111 – PHX 102Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 10 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 22 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 11 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Phoenix Suns

Collin Gillespie · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 0 actual

Dillon Brooks · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Jordan Goodwin · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Mark Williams · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Oso Ighodaro · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 225 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Andrew Wiggins · rebounds 4.5 → 10 · 5.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.02

Dru Smith · points 5.5 → 11 · 5.5 above the line · played 22.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Collin Gillespie · assists 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 30.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.68

Nikola Jović · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.79

Dillon Brooks · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.08

Oso Ighodaro · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 16.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Jordan Goodwin · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Bam Adebayo · points 20.5 → 22 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Mark Williams · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.60, Under 2.20

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHX vs MIA · last 14 games · PHX leads · PHX record 7–7 · average score 110.1–108.9 · PHX has won by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Jan · MIA 111 at PHX 102PHX lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 20 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 90 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 107 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 143 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 131 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 145 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 251 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 516 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1552 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1470 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1469 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1472 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1470 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1470 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1472 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1477 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1719 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1720 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1721 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2020 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.