NBA · Jan 30 gameAll props Full sheet

LA Clippers at Denver Nuggets

FinalLAC 109 – DEN 122Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

LA Clippers

Brook Lopez · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Jalen Pickett · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jordan Miller · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Kobe Sanders · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Kris Dunn · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 9 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 5 actual

Spencer Jones · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAC expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 219 points · odds to win: LAC 1.74, DEN 2.22

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 362 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Kris Dunn · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.5 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · no final price

Spencer Jones · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · no final price

Jordan Miller · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 18.7 min · no final price

Brook Lopez · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Jalen Pickett · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.2 min · no final price

Kobe Sanders · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.5 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs LAC · last 38 games · DEN leads · DEN record 24–14 · average score 111.0–107.4 · DEN has won by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

19 Feb · DEN 114 at LAC 115DEN lost

30 Jan · LAC 109 at DEN 122DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAC expected to win by 2.5, expected total 219 (Sat 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 57 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 64 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 295 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 298 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 306 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 311 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 311 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 312 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 315 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 316 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 79 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 389 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 579 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1036 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1087 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 308 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1217 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1323 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1324 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1396 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1397 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1399 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1400 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1399 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.