NBA · Feb 1 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

FinalOKC 121 – DEN 111Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 7 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 4 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 5 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 8 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 12 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 9 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 239 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 7 · 5.5 above the line · played 29.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Julian Strawther · points 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 22.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.67

Chet Holmgren · rebounds 8.5 → 4 · 4.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Isaiah Hartenstein · rebounds 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 21.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.75

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.70

Jaylin Williams · points 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Nikola Jokić · assists 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs OKC · last 32 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–15 · average score 111.9–112.4 · DEN has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · OKC 107 at DEN 127DEN won

9 Mar · DEN 126 at OKC 129DEN lost

27 Feb · DEN 121 at OKC 127DEN lost

1 Feb · OKC 121 at DEN 111DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 109 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 224 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 225 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 226 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 228 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 231 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 235 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 248 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 255 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 147 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 618 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 640 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 731 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 150 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 530 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 649 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 649 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 651 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 650 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 650 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 651 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 652 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 651 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.