NBA · Feb 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics

FinalMIA 96 – BOS 98Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 5 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Boston Celtics

Baylor Scheierman · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Derrick White · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 3 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 11 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 1 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 227 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Andrew Wiggins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 5 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Payton Pritchard · assists 5.5 → 1 · 4.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Sam Hauser · points 10.5 → 2 · 8.5 below the line · played 35.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Neemias Queta · rebounds 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 21.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Pelle Larsson · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 11.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Baylor Scheierman · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Derrick White · rebounds 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 41.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Davion Mitchell · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs MIA · last 47 games · BOS leads · BOS record 28–19 · average score 110.6–105.6 · BOS has won by 5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · BOS 147 at MIA 129BOS won

6 Feb · MIA 96 at BOS 98BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds history (h2h)ok · 13 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 16 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 86 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 92 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 93 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 98 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 103 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 95 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 709 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 774 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 829 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 881 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 881 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 882 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 885 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1062 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 958 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 959 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 960 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 963 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.