NBA · Feb 9 gameAll props Full sheet

Utah Jazz at Miami Heat

FinalUTA 115 – MIA 111Page updated 14:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Utah Jazz

Ace Bailey · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 8 actual

Brice Sensabaugh · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 14 actual

Isaiah Collier · minutes unknown

assists 11.5 → 9 actual

Jusuf Nurkić · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Lauri Markkanen · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 11 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 0 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 260 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jović · points 9.5 → 0 · 9.5 below the line · played 17 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.85

Ace Bailey · rebounds 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Isaiah Collier · assists 11.5 → 9 · 2.5 below the line · played 34.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Lauri Markkanen · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.70

Davion Mitchell · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Andrew Wiggins · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Jusuf Nurkić · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Simone Fontecchio · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.94

Bam Adebayo · rebounds 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Brice Sensabaugh · points 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs UTA · last 13 games · MIA leads · MIA record 9–4 · average score 114.5–114.3 · MIA has won by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Feb · UTA 115 at MIA 111MIA lost

24 Jan · MIA 147 at UTA 116MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 59 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 79 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 110 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 138 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 255 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 258 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 304 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 307 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 311 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 314 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 325 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 327 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 443 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 446 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 491 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 499 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 546 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 547 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 549 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 900 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 596 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 642 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 996 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 665 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 700 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1250 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1259 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1261 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1262 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1263 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1450 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1452 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1576 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1578 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1583 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.